News, facts, and comments on the coming revolution for piston-engine aircraft.
In 1998, one diesel engine flew on a converted airplane for the first time since 1945. Today, close to 4,000 singles and twins are flying. This is the beginning of a worldwide trend which will eventually allow a rebirth of the piston-engined aircraft, around new specs and new missions.
DieselAir Research, Inc., the publisher of The DieselAir Newsletter, offers strategic intelligence services to the aircraft industry, its suppliers and its customers who ambition to benefit from this global change of paradigm which will mean new markets, new concepts, new services, new materials and components… You may be interested in our services if your firm designs and/or manufactures aircraft and components, aero engines, avionics, propellers and engine components, fuel systems or additives, advanced materials, or industry specific machinery for manufacturing of these; or provides aviation services such as fuel production or distribution; flight training, aircraft chartering, maintenance and operations (FBO’s); or airport management and design, traffic control, hangar, materials handling and storage equipment; or consulting and financial services for these industries; or advertising, sales promotion, trade shows, specialized publications.
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News of November 05, 2003
Dieselair just completed the first US Market Analysis & 10-year Forecast of the future diesel retrofit market!
There are close to 200,000 piston engine airplanes, singles and twins, on the US register. Their average age is 30 years. They represent by far the largest fleet of its kind in the world. They are massively using Continental and Lycoming engines. In the very long term, they will all be retrofitted with diesel engines or with the coming new generation of Mogas engines. Some of them may also be converted to turboprop.
How fast will be this replacement?
Which models will be the first? (Yes, 182, 172, Cherokees, but how fast and in which conditions of operation?)
With which models will the retrofit make the more sense and in which power range (which doesn't mean they will be the first)? You might be surprised by our findings!
What will be the incidence of the Experimental market?
Who really are the competitors poising to address this market: SMA, Thielert Centurion, DeltaHawk, Zoche, D-Air, others?
What will be the probable cost of first retrofit, and later of TBO (first retrofit will be costly because of redesign of engine mount and cooling system, TBO will be sometimes comparable to a gasoline TBO and sometimes not...)
What will really be the performances of such aircraft as Cessna 172, 182, Piper Cherokees, Maule, SOCATA Trinidad, who will be the first available on the market? And the ones of the aircraft cmodels for which the diesel retrofit will be the most attractive in terms of total operating costs and actual revenue when commercially operated?
What will be the dollar value of the diesel market in 2004, 05, 06... 2014?
During which year will total sales of engine retrofits reach the figure of 10,000 units? 2007? 2010? 2015?
This study has been undertaken by steps since 2001 by our parent company Gean Overseas, Inc. (www.geanoverseas.com). Gean Overseas is a 30 year old, reputable international research firm with some 300 references worldwide among manufacturers of industrial equipment and components including aerospace and ancillaries.
The public information sources used were from: Experimental Aviation Association, Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association, U. S. Aircraft Directory, Maule Air, SMA Engines, Thielert Motoren, Michael Zoche, DeltaHawk Diesel Engines, Wilkscht Airmotive, VM Motori SpA, DieselAir Ltd, Teledyne Continental, Textron Lycoming...
This study is available as of December 1st, 2003 in a PowerPoint presentation with charts, spreadsheets, photos of planes and engines, and graphs. You can receive it on a CDRom upon order by Email to firstname.lastname@example.org mentioning your full name, name of company, address, phone, fax. Subscription rate $99 until 12/31, $149 afterwards.
posted at 4:13 AM